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In the light of the ethnogenetic and civilizational development of mankind.
Vakhi Surkho for the SNA CHECHENPRESS, 04/04/08
Like a person, a people is born, lives, grows, matures, grows older and finally, dies. Some die without any legacy – thus putting an end to the genetic branch, others - leaving behind them heirs, a successor people. This endless succession of peoples, coming one after another and forever reincarnating constitute Allah’s wisdom. This supports the active life of mankind on Earth, for no nation could live and be active from the Day of Creation to the Judgement Day.
Naturally, a life of a people is far longer than a life of one person. The historic analysis of many dead nations of antiquity has allowed us to determine with a certain degree of accuracy the duration of the ethnogenetic stage. It takes 300 years from the passionary impetus, i.e. the open phase of the incubation period when history starts to register a nation’s growing dynamism, and to the end of the ‘overheating’. A nation which has survived this ‘overheating’ receives a trip ticket to adult life. The mature, or the acmeatic, creative, phase lasts, as a rule, another 300 years. This is followed by the collapse stage which lasts from100 to 150 years. The easiest, the most carefree and the longest stage lasting 600-900 years, awaits nations in their old age.
But it is hard for the ‘old ones’ to defend themselves from the challenges of the young peoples. This marks a speedy end to a nation, if there is no passionary impetus to follow in the shape of a developing young and passionary subnation, which stands out against the general background, possessed by a new idea. This had been the expectation of the Russian Revolution of 1917. This is exactly what the proponents of the Eurasian idea hope for today. But it is obvious that this idea is doomed to a failure because, similar to communism, it is created artificially, without any grounding in a sacred basis. There are, however, several young subnations which are maturing within the Russian people and which are based on the world monotheistic religions, one of which is Islam.
It is obvious that the Russian Slavonic people has undergone the collapse phase in the 20th century and is preparing for the ‘golden’ secure old age within the framework of its historic Eastern European territory. Russia has not yet got over its collapse phase, however. Its attempts to preserve the Empire by quickly changing ideologies are in fact convulsions before a final disintegration. It would be much more sensible for Russia to voluntarily cede the territories which experience the growth of the passionary tension of the new peoples who are fighting for their place under the sun (this applies first and foremost to the Caucasus) and to safeguard itself from the inevitable collapse which would unequivocally lead to a split inside the Russian nation itself.
In a nutshell, the Russian people in its opposition to the nature of things and in its attempt to stop the natural process would be split into several constituent parts as a result of the inevitable explosion, caused by the attempts to hold back the natural energy of the growing passionary nation. A.Novikov was right when he stated in his article ‘Allah Akbar’ that ‘you could put out a log fire with a bucket of water but when we are talking about a nuclear reaction, it would go on burning notwithstanding; so what was the point of us starting this nuclear fire in the Caucasus? God only knows!’
Let us now take a look at why and how the confrontation between Russia and the Chechen people started. Why have the Chechens who had won their battles, lost the wars, and why has Russia which had won the wars, not been able to overcome the Chechen people, to subdue it? History shows that there had been contacts, both military and peaceful, between Russia and the Chechens, even before the confrontation but they became intransigent opponents in 1722. Why then?
This was the period when Russia had overcome the havoc (the passionary overheating) and entered the acmeatic phase, i.e. the phase of its flourishing. This was in 1722 when Peter the Great declared the Empire. At the time the Chechens living in the Caucasus had entered the open phase of the passionary surge when they were chasing away from their plains the Kabardinian and the Tarkovsky princes, the henchmen of the Mongols. The point was that no other Muslim nation neighbouring the Russian Empire at the time of its formation, other than Chechens, was a passionary nation. The neighbouring Turkic Muslim nation was living out its remaining days.
The Kabardinians, the Muslims of the Caucasus, neighbours of the Chechens, were in a similar situation. Only the free Avar societies had been infected with the Chechen passionarity, but the Khanate itself had not been affected. The core of the Imamate, of the new emerging Caucasian nation and of its state, had grown out of the fusion of the Chechens and the free Avar communities. This process is still going on and is still expanding. But time takes its toll and its march does not favour Russia. If Russia was mature and strong in the 18th and the19th centuries while the Chechens were still too young and impulsive, today Russia is undergoing the process of transition from its middle age to its old age, while the Chechens have grown strong and mature. But, unfortunately, not everyone and not every people gets wiser with years.
(To be continued) |
