Russia to the point of the sword
Alkhazur Jalilov, IA DAYMOHK, 07.01.06
It’s already long ago clear to all that in Chechnya the events are developed entirely not in the manner that tear slightly about this Russian MEDIA with the reference to the occupational and marionette sources. It seems that if someone was taken upon itself the labor to summarize the data of the summaries of occupational power ministries about a quantity of "destroyed" Chechen mujahadeen, then he would be necessary to recognize that in Chechnya almost all man population is already destroyed.
It’s is even more obvious that godlessly lie the marionette organs, writing new myths about its successes. But the mujahadeen little occupies that, about which tell Russian MEDIA and they continue to act, bringing on occupation forces impact after the impact. However, not only war in Chechnya is ready to blow up the ship, on which are retained the remainders of Soviet whale. Everything is determined by the state of Russian economy, or more precisely, by it present openness and by link with the external peace.
"Gas war" untied by Russia against the Ukraine - this is double-edged sword, and is worth, for example, to the Ukraine to raise export duties to the Russian oil and gas on 10%, as entire budget of Russia, above which Moscow conjures, instantly it will be pulled down. If Russia continues to exert political pressure in the Ukraine, and it will not know how to agree with the prices of the gas, Russia expect large shakings.
In a certain sense Russia is now more vulnerable, than in 1945 after victory in Second World War. Then the large part of the Soviet giant lay at the ruins, but Soviet society was isolated from the peace informational and economically, which made it possible to realize the model of the closed mobilization economy, without fearing serious social shakings. Now position is completely different. Russia is solidly connected with it on thousands of different channels.
And it means, it is opened for the external actions. The critical dependence of Russian economy on the environmental factors means that it is involuntarily necessary to sacrifice fundamental interests in order to be pleased to the West. Cooling relations with the West and thus visited too far, and their worsening, it is fraught with the collapse of Russian economy, from which will not save beyond the clouds prices of the oil. Russia should be view, and, after ending imperial policy with respect to Chechnya, to fix with it normal design collaboration.
It’s understandable that the West is not objectively interested in the economic and political crash of Russia, at least, at the given moment, otherwise did not support its policy in the North Caucasus. However, times change, and it is necessary to take into consideration, that in the majority of the western countries is changed the generation of leaders. And if the friends of Russia, such as Schroeder, were on the coffin of life obliged to Putin, then the present leaders will not experience any sentiment to Russia.
They must nothing to Russia.
Hardly know in the world of capital how to pardon old debts, and to give new. But here the discussion does not already deal with this. During the continuation of present policy, in any event, Russia will not be succeeded in avoiding the catastrophic development of internal economic situation. Besides a policy shift, the passage to some form of the mobilization economy will be required by it, at what it’s obviously Kremlin management is not approached, and Russia will be in prospect the large tests in this year, which are combined with the enormous social shakings.
In any case, about the consequences of Putin policy it is possible to speak for sure: first, in the society began to prevail anti-Western moods, which noticeably influenced the external climate, and, in the second place, the popularity of Putin disappears still more rapid than it appeared. This is - the second "blade of the sword", along which it is necessary to go for Russia. True, as in the first case, situation can aggravate faster than we intend.
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